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Home sales ease in October

 19 November 2018     HGO Staff 

OTTAWA – Home sales via its Multiple Listing Service declined in October, both on a seasonally adjusted basis from September and on an actual year-over-year basis over October 2017, according to figures released by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). The number of new listings and the national average sales price also declined.

The realtors group said MLS sales edged back 1.6% in October over September, noting that while sales are still stronger when compared to the first half of the year, they remain below the monthly levels recorded from early 2014 to 2017.

Chart courtesy of the Canadian Real Estate Association.Actual (not seasonally adjusted) sales were down 3.7% compared to October 2017. Sales were down year-over-year in slightly more than half of all local markets as lower sales in Greater Vancouver and the Fraser Valley more than offset the rise in sales in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) and Montreal by a wide margin.

“National sales activity lost momentum in October,” CREA chief economist Gregory Klump said in a statement. “In part, this reflects waning activity among some urban centers in Ontario’s Greater Golden Horseshoe region and the absence of an offsetting rise in sales in the Lower Mainland of British Columbia. Even so, the balance between sales and listings in these regions points to stable prices or modest gains. By contrast, the balance between sales and listings for housing markets in Alberta, Saskatchewan and Newfoundland indicates a weak pricing environment for homeowners who are looking to sell.”

The number of newly listed homes sank 1.1% between September and October, led by the GTA, Calgary and Victoria, although they were more than offset an increase in new supply in Edmonton and Greater Vancouver.

The actual national average price for homes sold in October 2018 was just under $496,800, down 1.5% from the same month last year. Excluding Greater Vancouver and the GTA – this country’s most active and expensive markets – from the calculation trims the national average to just under $383,000.

In his research note, Rishi Sondhi of TD Economics, said the rising cost of borrowing is now acting as a brake on what was a hot home resale market.

“Policymakers are probably pleased with what has so far been an orderly slowdown in housing, with markets across the country generally balanced and prices growing at a more manageable pace,” he said, adding, “Looking ahead, we expect sales to grind modestly higher in coming years, supported by continued employment, income and population growth. However, rising borrowing costs, strained affordability in key markets, and tougher mortgage qualification rules will limit the extent of any realised improvement.”

Related Story: Housing slowdown continues


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